Monday, July 21, 2025

War with China should be avoided

 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ILzqlHIy-Lw


What inspired you to write this book?

Well, I see a great tragedy coming and it's a completely unnecessary tragedy. This coming geopolitical contest between the United States and China. And the basic message of my book is a very simple one, which is that a geopolitical contest between the United States and China is both inevitable and avoidable. So I try to explain in the main part of my book why it's inevitable and why also the United States should really think very hard and deep before it plunges into this geopolitical contest with China.

What I try to point out in the book is that there are lots of misconceptions that Americans have about their own strengths and about China's weaknesses. It is taken as an ideological certainty that when a thriving democracy takes on a geopolitical struggle against the communist party system, the thriving democracy will always win as it demonstrated in the first world war against the Soviet Union. But then if you dig deeper and you try to understand what is the core situation of American society today and the core situation of Chinese society, you discover that the United States is actually having to deal with some major structural challenges.

One of the key structural challenges is that the average income of the bottom 50% of the American population has been sliding down over a 30-year period. And as I try to analyze in the book, this is not just an accident. This is a result of deep structural forces in American society that have moved America away from being a thriving democracy towards becoming a plutoaucracy.

And by contrast, China in the 30-year period where the average income of the bottom 50% in America has been sliding down, this in the same 30-year period, the bottom 50% in China have had their best 30 years in 3,000 years. So at a time when the Chinese people are experiencing the most amazing improvements in their standard of living, you must remember also for most of Chinese history, the bottom 50% struggle to survive. They would die in famines and civil wars and they had a very rough life and the last 30 years they have access to education, housing, health care, travel in a way they never ever had before in their lives.

So after China has gone through the best 30-year period ever under the Chinese Communist Party, the United States is telling the Chinese people, why don't you get rid of Chinese Communist Party? And the Chinese people are scratching their head and say, "Excuse me, you know, I've had the best 30 years." And the Chinese Communist Party is succeeding because while in theory it is still a Communist Party, it is a Communist Party that is the exact opposite of the Soviet Communist Party because the Soviet Communist Party was run by all apparatchiks.

The Chinese Communist Party may possibly be the most meritocratic political party in the world and the selection process results in the best minds running China today. You met somebody you know you know Wangi Shan you know how brilliant these people are. So by by going into this old ideological reflex and saying hey democracies can always overcome communist parties. The United States hasn't done a deeper analysis and realize that this is not a contest within a democracy and a communist party system.

It's a contest between a plutoaucracy and a meritocracy. You talked about it being a party of representation, how that is maintained, whether that is stable. It is still true for the last 30 years. You see at the end of the day, running China, keeping a country of 1.4 billion together every day is a massive challenge. Which is why for most of Chinese history, China has more often been divided than united. So the periods like what China has experienced in the last 30 years with the strong central government delivering phenomenal improvement in living standards to its people is very rare in Chinese history.

And so if you compare the record in governance of the Chinese Communist Party especially after Deng Xiaoing launched his four modernizations 40 years ago in 1979. It's quite amazing what China has accomplished and the Chinese must always measure the record of their governance not against what other countries have achieved but what has been achieved in Chinese history. And no Chinese government in ever in Chinese history has improved the living standards of the Chinese people as much as the Chinese Communist Party has.

Wednesday, July 16, 2025

Tom Cotton and China

 


https://cbsaustin.com/news/nation-world/sen-tom-cotton-warns-china-poses-existential-threat-to-us-communist-arkansas-representative-seven-things-you-cant-say-about-china-military-war-president-donald-trump

Republican Sen. Tom Cotton on Tuesday issued a stark warning about Communist China, saying many of the threats the U.S. faces "are truly existential."

Cotton, who represents Arkansas and serves as the chairman of the Select Committee of Intelligence, detailed growing concerns about China's military activities and the implications for security.

https://alec.org/article/seven-things-you-cant-say-about-china-insights-from-us-senator-tom-cotton/

Senator Cotton outlines the seven critical truths about China that are often suppressed:

China is an evil empire;

China is preparing for war;

China is waging an economic world war;

China has infiltrated our society;

China has infiltrated our government;

China is coming for our kids;

China could win.



Saturday, June 28, 2025

samarium

 https://archive.ph/fX6zY

China produces the entire world’s supply of samarium, a particularly obscure rare earth metal used almost entirely in military applications. Samarium magnets can withstand temperatures hot enough to melt lead without losing their magnetic force. They are essential for withstanding the heat of fast-moving electric motors in cramped spaces like the nose cones of missiles.

On April 4, China halted exports of seven kinds of rare earth metals, as well as magnets made from them. China controls most of the world’s supply of these metals and magnets. China’s Ministry of Commerce declared that these materials had both civilian and military uses, and any further exports would be allowed only with specially issued licenses. The move, according to the ministry, would “safeguard national security” and “fulfill international obligations such as nonproliferation.”

The main American user of samarium is Lockheed Martin, an aerospace and military contractor that puts about 50 pounds of samarium magnets in each F-35 fighter jet. Lockheed Martin responded to questions with a short statement: “We continuously assess the global rare earth supply chain to ensure access to critical materials that support our customers’ missions. Specific questions about the rare earth supply chain will be best addressed by the U.S. government.”

The Defense Department awarded $35 million to MP in early 2022 to start production of samarium and several other rare earths that China has now restricted. MP then spent $100 million, using a lot of its own money, to buy the necessary equipment to process them, said James Litinsky, the company’s chief executive.

The Biden administration soon after awarded $351 million to Australia’s Lynas Rare Earths to build a facility in Texas that would also produce samarium.

Mr. Litinsky said the market for samarium was so small that it would be uneconomical to have two producers in the United States. So MP never installed its samarium processing equipment, which is still in storage.

But Lynas never built its Texas factory, after a permit it had for rare earth mining in Malaysia that was in limbo was eventually renewed. Lynas did not respond to emails and phone calls for comment.

MP is willing to install its samarium processing equipment now only if promised better financial terms by customers, Mr. Litinsky noted. “We felt very burnt by the whole thing,” he said.

Monday, June 16, 2025

Growing almonds

 It's sad to hear people complain about using water to grow food when so much more water is wasted and dumped in the ocean.

Water is a precious resource but so is fertile land and a good climate. If you deny water to farmers you waste that land and climate. Is that a wise choice?

Why do people who complain about private ownership never consider the other side, how public ownership, such as the DMV, is often wasteful and poorly run, seldom providing even marginal service to customers.


Tuesday, June 3, 2025

Fusarium graminearum

While Fusarium graminearum is a dangerous lifeform, that makes it even more urgent to study it and understand it. This is what Jian's field of study was. She started in China and was invited (hired) to continue it in Michigan.

https://www.mlive.com/news/ann-arbor/2025/06/chinese-couple-smuggled-biological-pathogen-into-us-for-university-of-michigan-research-feds-say.html

Jian received her doctorate in plant pathogens from Zhejiang University, the complaint states. She received money from a Chinese foundation with backing from the Chinese government to conduct research on a fungus known as Fusarium graminearum, the complaint states.

Jian is a citizen of China who received a doctorate degree in plant pathogens from Zhejiang University

Liu researches the same pathogen, the agent wrote.

https://plantbiology.natsci.msu.edu/faculty_and_research/plb_interactions.aspx

https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/michigan/2025/06/03/what-is-fusarium-graminearum-the-fungus-intercepted-at-detroit-airport/84009387007/

In the complaint submitted in the Department of Justice’s case against the scholar, 33-year-old Yunquing Jian, and her boyfriend, 34-year-old Zunyong Liu, prosecutors cite a 2004 paper published in the journal Molecular Plant Pathology titled “Heading for disaster: Fusarium Graminearum on cereal crops.”

https://botit.botany.wisc.edu/toms_fungi/aug2005.html

Plant pathologist study plant diseases in an effort to be able to control them. Every crop plant has a cadre of diseases that affect the way it can be used by people or at least affect its yield.

https://bioengineer.org/researchers-identify-key-fungal-protein-linked-to-fusarium-head-blight-in-cereal-crops/

In a groundbreaking study published in Molecular Plant-Microbe Interactions, researchers have uncovered vital insights into the pathogenic mechanisms employed by Fusarium graminearum, a notorious fungal pathogen responsible for the devastating disease known as Fusarium head blight (FHB). This discovery could potentially pave the way for developing genetically engineered crops resistant to this harmful pathogen that significantly compromises wheat and barley production worldwide. The findings emphasize the importance of understanding plant-pathogen interactions at a molecular level, which is critical for enhancing crop resilience and ensuring global food security.


https://www.cbsnews.com/news/fungus-agroterrorism-arrest-widely-prevalent-us-researcher/

F. graminearum is already widely prevalent across the U.S. in native grasses around the country as well as crops, scientists say. It spreads and thrives usually during wet weather, causing a common crop disease called Fusarium head blight or head scab, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Agricultural Research Service. "It's extremely prevalent in North America. It likely arose in North America, so it's not like a foreign agent coming in. And it's already causing a lot of problems in U.S. agriculture," Harold Kistler, an adjunct professor at the University of Minnesota, told CBS News. Kistler said scientists believe F. graminearum likely originated in North America because all of its closest relatives have been found on the continent.

Friday, May 2, 2025

gof claims

The primary work was conducted in Ralph Baric's lab at Chapel Hill NC. Samples were shipped via Canada to Wuhan where 7 more variants were created. The materials they worked with came from Ft. Detrick Maryland. Peter Daszak was in charge at that time though he resigned and formed EcoHealth Alliance and funneled funding into Wuhan along with a plethora of other biological labs including those in Ukraine. If you would like a copy of the 34-page lab report including their findings I could send them to you perhaps. Testing in Wuhan was done on human subjects which is why the first estimate of lethality was estimated to be 10%. SARS II CV-19 was released in several alternate locations ----not just in Wuhan and it wasn't by accident. Dr. Charles Lieber was later arrested but only charged with tax evasion. Lieber is the father of bio-engineering using nano-technology. His primary financial supporter is Bill Gates.


Claim 1: The primary work was conducted in Ralph Baric’s lab at Chapel Hill, NC.
Fact-Check: Partially True, but Misleading in Context
  • Background: Ralph Baric, a virologist at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, is a leading expert in coronaviruses and gain-of-function (GOF) research, which involves modifying viruses to study their behavior. His lab has conducted significant research on bat coronaviruses, including collaborative work with the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) and EcoHealth Alliance. A notable 2015 study co-authored by Baric and Shi Zhengli (WIV) described creating a chimeric SARS-like virus that could infect human cells, funded partly by the NIH and EcoHealth Alliance.
  • Analysis: Baric’s lab has been a hub for coronavirus research, but there’s no definitive evidence that it conducted the “primary work” on SARS-CoV-2 specifically. The 2015 study involved a different virus (SHC014), not SARS-CoV-2. Claims that Baric’s lab engineered SARS-CoV-2 are speculative and lack direct evidence. Baric himself has stated that none of the viruses studied in his lab are genetically related to SARS-CoV-2.
  • Conclusion: Baric’s lab conducted significant coronavirus research, but there’s no evidence it was the primary source of SARS-CoV-2. The claim overstates the lab’s role in the pandemic’s origins.

Claim 2: Samples were shipped via Canada to Wuhan, where 7 more variants were created.
Fact-Check: Unsubstantiated
  • Background: The claim about samples being shipped via Canada likely stems from a 2019 incident involving Chinese researchers at Canada’s National Microbiology Laboratory in Winnipeg. Dr. Xiangguo Qiu and her husband were removed from the lab amid security concerns, and there were reports of biological samples being sent to China. However, these samples were related to Ebola and Nipah viruses, not coronaviruses.
  • Analysis: There’s no evidence linking Canada to the shipment of SARS-CoV-2-related samples to Wuhan. The “7 more variants” claim is vague and unsupported by any publicly available data. The WIV conducted extensive bat coronavirus research, but no documentation confirms the creation of seven specific SARS-CoV-2 variants from shipped samples. This claim appears to conflate unrelated biosecurity incidents with the pandemic’s origins.
  • Conclusion: No evidence supports samples being shipped via Canada to Wuhan or the creation of seven variants there. This claim is speculative.

Claim 3: The materials they worked with came from Ft. Detrick, Maryland.
Fact-Check: Unsubstantiated
  • Background: Fort Detrick, Maryland, hosts the U.S. Army Medical Research Institute of Infectious Diseases (USAMRIID), which conducts research on high-risk pathogens. In 2019, the CDC temporarily shut down some Fort Detrick labs due to biosafety lapses, fueling conspiracy theories about a COVID-19 connection.
  • Analysis: There’s no evidence that materials used in Baric’s lab or the WIV originated from Fort Detrick. Fort Detrick’s research focuses on biodefense, and no credible reports link it to SARS-CoV-2 or its precursors. The claim likely arises from speculation about the timing of the biosafety shutdown, but no documentation supports a connection to Wuhan or Chapel Hill.
  • Conclusion: This claim lacks evidence and is speculative.

Claim 4: Peter Daszak was in charge at that time, resigned, formed EcoHealth Alliance, and funneled funding to Wuhan and labs in Ukraine.
Fact-Check: Partially True, but Misleading
  • Background: Peter Daszak is the president of EcoHealth Alliance, a nonprofit focused on emerging infectious diseases. EcoHealth has received significant U.S. funding (over $118 million since 2007) from agencies like the NIH, USAID, and the Pentagon for virus research, including collaborations with the WIV.
  • Analysis:
    • “In charge”: Daszak was not “in charge” of Baric’s lab or the WIV. He led EcoHealth Alliance, which partnered with both. His role was coordinating research and securing grants, not overseeing lab operations.
    • Resigned and formed EcoHealth: This is incorrect. Daszak has been with EcoHealth Alliance since at least 2001 and did not resign from another organization to form it. EcoHealth was founded in 1971 (as Wildlife Trust) and rebranded in 2010.
    • Funding to Wuhan: True. EcoHealth Alliance funneled NIH grants to the WIV (e.g., $3.7 million from 2014–2019) for bat coronavirus research. This included GOF experiments, some conducted at BSL-2 labs, raising biosafety concerns.
    • Labs in Ukraine: There’s no evidence EcoHealth directly funded biological labs in Ukraine. Claims about Ukraine labs often stem from Russian disinformation campaigns alleging U.S.-funded bioweapons labs. The U.S. does fund cooperative threat reduction programs in Ukraine for biosecurity, but these are unrelated to SARS-CoV-2 or EcoHealth’s core work.
  • Conclusion: Daszak led EcoHealth and facilitated funding to the WIV, but the claims about resigning, forming EcoHealth, or funding Ukraine labs are inaccurate or unsupported.

Claim 5: Testing in Wuhan was done on human subjects, leading to a 10% lethality estimate.
Fact-Check: Unsubstantiated
  • Background: Early in the pandemic, estimates of SARS-CoV-2’s case fatality rate (CFR) varied widely due to limited testing and data. Initial reports from Wuhan suggested a CFR as high as 10%, but global estimates settled around 1–3% by mid-2020, with variations by age and region.
  • Analysis: There’s no evidence of human subject testing with SARS-CoV-2 in Wuhan. The high early CFR estimates were likely due to underreported cases and overwhelmed healthcare systems, not experimental trials. Human challenge studies (deliberate infection) were proposed later for vaccine trials but not in Wuhan. The claim lacks any supporting documentation and aligns with conspiracy theories rather than verified data.
  • Conclusion: No evidence supports human testing in Wuhan or links it to lethality estimates. The 10% figure reflects early data limitations, not experiments.

Claim 6: SARS-CoV-2 was released in several locations, not just Wuhan, and not by accident.
Fact-Check: Unsubstantiated
  • Background: The first confirmed SARS-CoV-2 cases emerged in Wuhan in December 2019, linked to the Huanan Seafood Market. Genomic evidence suggests a single introduction into humans, likely in late 2019.
  • Analysis: There’s no evidence of multiple deliberate releases of SARS-CoV-2. The virus’s genetic diversity and spread patterns support a single origin, with subsequent global transmission. Claims of intentional release often cite the lab-leak hypothesis, but even this theory typically posits an accidental leak from one lab (WIV), not multiple coordinated releases. No credible data supports releases in other locations prior to Wuhan’s outbreak.
  • Conclusion: This claim is speculative and lacks evidence. The single-origin hypothesis is most consistent with available data.

Claim 7: Dr. Charles Lieber was arrested but only charged with tax evasion. He is the father of bio-engineering using nanotechnology, funded by Bill Gates.
Fact-Check: Partially True, but Misleading
  • Background: Dr. Charles Lieber, a Harvard chemist, was arrested in January 2020 and convicted in 2021 for making false statements to federal authorities, failing to disclose foreign income, and tax-related offenses. These charges stemmed from his undisclosed ties to China’s Thousand Talents Program and the Wuhan University of Technology, where he received significant funding.
  • Analysis:
    • Arrest and Charges: True. Lieber was arrested and charged with offenses related to nondisclosure and tax issues, not directly related to SARS-CoV-2 or bioweapons.
    • Nanotechnology: True. Lieber is a pioneer in nanotechnology, particularly in bioengineering applications like nanoscale sensors for medical use. However, calling him the “father” is an exaggeration; he’s one of many contributors to the field.
    • Bill Gates Connection: Unsubstantiated. There’s no evidence that Bill Gates was Lieber’s “primary financial supporter.” Lieber’s funding came from U.S. agencies (e.g., NIH, DOD) and Chinese institutions. Gates has funded biotech broadly through the Gates Foundation, but no specific link to Lieber’s work exists in public records.
    • SARS-CoV-2 Link: No evidence connects Lieber’s nanotechnology research to SARS-CoV-2. Claims tying his work to the virus are speculative and often appear in conspiracy theories.
  • Conclusion: Lieber’s arrest and nanotechnology expertise are accurate, but the Gates connection and any SARS-CoV-2 link are unsupported.

Overall Assessment
The claims blend some factual elements (e.g., Baric’s research, Daszak’s funding, Lieber’s arrest) with speculative and unsubstantiated assertions (e.g., Canada shipments, multiple releases, human testing). Many rely on conspiracy narratives that lack primary evidence, such as lab reports or official documents. The lab-leak hypothesis remains plausible but unproven, with no definitive evidence tying SARS-CoV-2 to Baric’s lab, Fort Detrick, or deliberate release. The natural origin hypothesis, while also unproven, aligns with patterns seen in prior pandemics (e.g., SARS, MERS).
Request for Lab Report
If you can share details about the 34-page lab report (e.g., title, authors, or a way to access it), I can evaluate its claims specifically. Without it, I’m limited to public data. You can describe its key findings, and I’ll cross-reference them with available sources.
Sources
-,,,,,,,,
  • General knowledge of SARS-CoV-2 origins debates and biosafety protocols.